The Ace in the Hole

by Responsible Choice · 10 comments

This saying is generally used when describing something held in reserve that, when revealed, will ensure victory. In the context of cannabis the ‘ace’ appears often when talk of legalisation comes up.

For example:

RC: “Man, cannabis should be regulated and taxed like alcohol. It’s non toxic, can’t kill you, and it would reduce alcohol-related issues as well as generate jobs and government revenue!”

Prohibitionist: “Firstly, it’s illegal. Why? Well that’s easy, (HERE COMES THE ACE) it causes schizophrenia. Why would we legalise something that makes you go crazy? Go have another cone bong-head…

This kind of spiel is helped along handily by such research as is presented below:

I’m not about to go into the many and varied areas of concern that this study raises apart from the fact that this study was conducted using Meta-analysis , a method of research used primarily in the gathering of statistical data, by Dr. Matthew Large from The University of New South Wales. This research was released with the full approval of the National Cannabis Prevention and Information Centre’s Jan Copeland, who was present at the press release, founder of the NCPIC, which operates out of The University of NSW

Here’s a little intro into the problems with meta-analysis:

Meta-analysis can never follow the rules of hard science, for example being double-blind, controlled, or proposing a way to falsify the theory in question. It is only a statistical examination of scientific studies, not an actual scientific study, itself. Some have argued that a weakness of the method is that sources of bias are not controlled by the method. A good meta-analysis of badly designed studies will still result in bad statistics


The most severe weakness and abuse of meta-analysis often occurs when the person or persons doing the meta-analysis have an economic, social or political agenda such as the passage or defeat of legislation. Those persons with these types of agenda have a high likelihood to abuse meta-analysis due to personal bias. For example, researchers favorable to the author’s agenda are likely to have their studies “cherry picked” while those not favorable will be ignored or labeled as “not credible”. In addition, the favored authors may themselves be biased or paid to produce results that support their overall political, social, or economic goals in ways such as selecting small favorable data sets and not incorporating larger unfavorable data sets.

If a meta-analysis is conducted by an individual or organization with a bias or predetermined desired outcome, it should be treated as highly suspect or having a high likelihood of being “junk science“.

Here’s what some people had to say about Dr. Large’s study (P.S. I am one of them)

Ahem, I digress.

Now I have a problem with the use of this so called ‘ace’ in this context, and I would actually go so far as to say I consider it to be an arbitrary and ignorant point of argument to include in such an exchange. Now for the whys…

The thing about schizophrenia is that it falls under the category of psychosis. But what is psychosis? According to Sane Australia’s Psychosis factsheet it is

a group of illnesses which disrupt the functioning of the brain so much, they cause a condition called psychosis. When someone experiences psychosis they are unable to distinguish what is real — there is a loss of contact with reality. Most people are able to recover from an episode of psychosis.

Now curiously I feel I must point out that using this definition I should be able to classify alcohol intoxication as psychosis, shouldn’t I? I mean how many people have you seen;

– get naked

– get physically violent

– talk absolute nonsense

when drunk? Distinct loss of contact with reality there, mixed with out-of-character behaviour and delusions, combined with apparent disregard for consequences of abnormal behaviour. THAT SHIT IS CRAZY. But I digress…again.

So what we have is one specific psychotic brain condition, known as schizophrenia, being espoused as being caused by cannabis use. But what is it? What does it mean for someone suffering from it?

In my quest to answer this question I stumbled upon, a wonderful non profit online resource moderated by mental health and other professionals, which luckily for me has information on a page titled ‘Understanding Schizophrenia‘ published this year.

Now for the crux of my comments earlier about people just tossing the old shizo card in. According to the expert opinion of the authors of this page, who by the way are Dr. Jeanne Segal Ph.D and Melinda Smith , M.A., the causes of schizophrenia

…are not fully known. However, it appears that schizophrenia usually results from a complex interaction between genetic and environmental factors.

Oh. Guess you better take that card back hey? That’s because schizophrenia research has indicated it has a strong genetic/familial/hereditary element as well as an environmental/social element also, not to mention abnormal brain structure.

But then again that’s one page, by no means definitive, so some may still be forgiven for claiming trumps with that old schizo card. Well how about we look at the numbers then?

According to the World Health Organisation schizophrenia incidence is low, at around 3 out of every 10,000 people globally, equating to 0.03%. Now the page gives an occurrence statistic of 1%. Now don’t get me wrong, schizophrenia is nothing to make light of, but 1%? 1 out of 100 people possibly have this illness and therefore a tenous link between cannabis use and its occurrence means we criminalise its use and possession for the remaining 99%, presumably for their own protection?

This situation becomes even more ridiculous when we consider Australia’s population, 22,721,563 at the time of this post thanks to the Australian Bureau of Statistics Population Clock . Now according to the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) as of 2011 Australia’s annual cannabis use is a conservative 10.6% of the population aged 15–64, in that that is the figure of people who have used cannabis in the year. Good job by prohibition there by the way, especially in the U.S. where the rate of cannabis use is 13.7%.


So where is the evidence backing up the schizophrenia card then? Why isn’t our rate of schizophrenia occurrence around 10%, especially given that use of cannabis has fallen according to the NCPIC . We should be able to see a notable rise by now if there was a causal link there. Absence of a rise would logically mean a lack of causation wouldn’t it? Speaking of NCPIC this 2009 article is very articulate in pointing out serious contradictions in the claims made by Jan Copeland, founding Professor and Director of the National Cannabis Prevention and Information Centre (NCPIC) at the University of NSW.

What about what schizophrenics have to say about cannabis? Well if we have a look at this 2010 study we see that out none of the people in the target group attributed their condition to their cannabis use, and 4 out of the 10 patients considered cannabis a therapeutic aid to their condition.

Now I want to make it clear here that I am NOT saying that regular cannabis use cannot lead to mental health issues. I think it is a pretty straight forward observation to make that regular drug use of any kind can have an impact on our mental state, and in many ways that is the motivation behind a lot of drug use. What I AM saying is that to say cannabis causes schizophrenia is not only ignorant of the general facts surrounding both the causal factors given by experts but also of the occurrence rate compared to the rates of cannabis use in our country and around the world.

The time for Australia as a country to stop buying into the same old card game is over. We cannot afford to, especially when we take into account the terrible toll alcohol as our main, legal psychoactive-recreational drug option is taking on our country. Even if we entertain the idea that cannabis does cause psychosis, which it doesn’t, psychosis isn’t fatal, and is in fact fairly easily treatable. Alcohol poisoning is fatal, so are liver, heart and prostate cancer, diabetes, domestic violence and drink driving most of the time. Which would be the safer, responsible choice there then?

Maybe this page on Alcohol Psychosis would be helpful?

To put it bluntly if we are outlawing a substance based on its potential for mental health issues alcohol would be near the top of the list. Alternatively, if our criteria was risk of overdose, resultant chronic illness or harm to those around users, alcohol would be illegal, no question. Cannabis does not fall into any of those criteria, so I would argue it holds a very strong hand comparatively, and the prohibitionists out there need to simply fold. It’s just embarrassing and the stakes are too high.


Australia, it is your deal. What hand do you want to give to your children and your fellow responsible adults?


{ 10 comments… read them below or add one }

Col October 3, 2011 at 12:46 pm

These are the kind of articles that reformers need to arm themselves with. The problem with the schizophrenia link is that to refute it you need sound evidence and an argument at least as long as this. Translated into a verbal conversation that makes for very difficult times in convincing people unless you’re an outstanding speaker.


Responsible Choice October 5, 2011 at 1:49 am

I agree Col, it can be difficult to work this kind of thing into conversation, but I also believe that allowing people the opportunity to reflect and come to a renewed understanding is more achievable than convincing someone out of their beliefs or viewpoint. In that scenario there is a winner and a loser, and rarely do we find situations where people will so stubbonly hold onto their obviously flawed viewpoints than the cannabis legalisation pro/con debate.

Therefore I try and pose a question in response to statements that are made, like;
“Cannabis causes schizophrenia they say”

“Yeah I’ve heard that too, but where is the evidence then? I know heaps of people that smoke that don’t have it, I’ve smoked and I don’t have it, so how can that be true?”


Not So Common Sense October 3, 2011 at 6:16 pm

Thanks for the article! I still find it difficult to comprehend that ‘experts’ seriously expect people to believe that a plant which has been used for thousands of years as a medicine has suddenly mutated to cause schizophrenia. I think the argument is fairly simple. If cannabis causes psychoses, then it follows that the incidence of psychoses must be increasing in line with the increased rates of use of cannabis. However, the rate of psychoses has remained fairly consistent over time. (Research on that issue in the UK showed no rises in cases of schizophrenia or psychoses diagnosed in the UK over nine years, during which the use of the drug had grown substantially. )

Apart from that argument, National Cannabis Prevention and Information Centre (and other anti-cannabis lobbies) use research that shows there is a correlation between people with mental health issues and cannabis use (no argument there, self medication etc as you describe is quite common), and then claim cannabis caused it. It’s like saying that a large proportion of people with mental health issues smoke cigarettes and then claiming that the cigarettes caused it.

Here’s another good article that looks at other aspects of the argument.


Jacqui stampa October 4, 2011 at 10:43 am

Excellent literature as always,my hubby is scitzophrenic & chronic pot smoker & incarcerated for pot also like so many others, all pot does for him is calms him!


Responsible Choice October 5, 2011 at 1:50 am

Thanks Jacqui.

So good to have someone share their real world experience of this topic.

Your comment also raises the point often discussed that cannabis prohibition may well contribute to any paranoia or other negative mental health symptoms reported by users of cannabis when high, in that fear of being charged and incarcerated actually foster a sense of paranoia in the user because it is a reality in a lot of states and countries around the world.


Responsible Choice October 5, 2011 at 1:55 am

Thanks for your comments.

It’s great to get a UK perspective into the mix here! Thanks for the links, very informative.


Mungu October 12, 2011 at 11:17 am

My mother is suffering from schizophrenia. She has never inhaled THC nor smoke. According to some readings, the prevalence rate of heavy smokers among schizophrenics is nearly close to 100 meaning schizophrenic patients need to regulate their thoughts and their mind needs to be calmed in order to take the reality. Nicotine receptor’s main effects are to reduce the positive effects on schizophrenic patients. The positive effects are hallucinations and delusions. Not every schizophrenic patient has both negative and positive effects, I believe it is due to which part of the brain has unusually high dopaminergic or serotonic chemical in-valance. Most schizophrenic patients who have already been diagnosed during their involuntary hospitalisations do not understand if they have the disease. The most severe schizophrenic patients always believe in their paranoid thoughts. Schizophrenic patients are not many among us but they can become dangerous. I believe some or high number of imprisoned murderers(psychosis – we call psycho?) may have been suffering from some kind of schizophrenic thoughts. Their paranoid thoughts will trigger harming themselves or others. They dont understand if they are paranoid. The paranoid thought is real for them. It is worth arguing which comes first because we still dont know the cause of this disease. It is not marijuana that causes it. It is environmental but what is environmental? When you see something traumatic or experience it? Would that single event permanently damage the genes molecular behaviour so that dopamine and serotonin chemicals are from that point of the event are excessively produced during thousands of light speed neural interactions? There are more schizophrenic patients going to hospitals in urban areas. There are less patients in rural areas except those who used to live in urban areas and moved to rural after being diagnosed with schizophrenia disease. Any child hood trauma could possibly effect their neural behaviour and it can become permanent or periodic. If I see a earthquake happening right in front of me and see people dying , that will definitely give me a big traumatic memory. If I lose my the other half, that would be the most traumatic event that will permanently make my genes altered and hereditary. I dont really think that this complexity can easily be cured with pharmaceutical medications such as – Risperidol / Thiamine Fut-amine which will only alter some specific receptors which regulate the chemically invalanced reactions? Every single anti psychotic or anti – depressant drugs have common side effects – constipations/lost appetites and etc. I never trust lab- produced pharmas even very small spectrum antibiotics.


Responsible Choice October 12, 2011 at 9:42 pm

Thanks for your comment Mungu.

Again it is really great to hear from those with experience of schizophrenia and what they think of the whole cannabis causation argument. I hope your mum and family can find a way through her illness safely.



Freedom crusader January 29, 2012 at 10:12 am

The concept put forward by politicians and prohibitionists that cannabis prohibition is a public health measure is a 100% furphy. Stating the obvious, that if it were then Alcohol and tobacco would be illegal, but their not. It’s about repressing,oppressing,suppressing, counter culture, it’s about mind control, it’s about enslavement to the common collective consciousness, Its about funding the police state and it’s mechanism, it’s about protecting vested interest(Alcohol industry,Hotel industry, Pharmaceutical industry etc.) Prohibition is a denial of self determination, freedom, civil liberties and human rights and therefore democracy. Cannabis prohibition is quite literally, dictatorship. It is representatives, employee’s, servants, dictating to YOU as a sovereign citizen, arbitrarily, without mandate, what YOU can and cannot do in the privacy and sanctity of your own home and society with your own body and mind. It is raging absurdity ! Politicians are our servants not our masters and must be brought to heel ! Please, if you agree with my statements then act alone or in concert with others but put a stop to dictatorship in this country and demand your rights to freedom from persecution from the state. legalise now, nothing less is acceptable!


Responsible Choice January 29, 2012 at 12:20 pm

Nicely put.


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